Could ‘Culture Wars’ Rekindle the Brexit Divide?

22 September 2022 Comment Nationality, identity and culture

It is often asserted that Brexit has fallen off voters’ agenda. Remain voters, it is said, have accommodated themselves to the fact that we have left the EU, while the issue has lost its importance for Leave voters. The validity of the first of those statements is doubtful – as our post-Brexit poll of polls […]

The Importance of Non-Voters

1 July 2022 Comment The Brexit Vote: Right or Wrong?

The latest in the series of Brexit tracker surveys undertaken by Redfield & Wilton for UK in a Changing Europe finds that in a referendum on whether the UK should re-join or stay out of the EU, 53% would now vote to re-join, while 47% would back staying out. This represents a turnaround from previous […]

The Electoral Legacy of Brexit: Evidence from the 2022 English Local Elections

19 May 2022 Comment The Brexit process

Brexit played a central role in the outcome of the 2019 general election. Those who had voted Leave in 2016 swung strongly towards the Conservatives. In winning an overall majority of 80, the party captured from Labour some Leave-inclined parliamentary constituencies that the Conservatives had not previously won since at least the 1930s. Unsurprisingly, Labour […]

Party Choice and Changing Attitudes to Brexit

9 March 2022 Comment Sources of persuasion

Ever since the 2016 referendum, it has been commonplace for polls of vote intention to report separately the figures for those who voted Remain and those who backed Leave. And as we have previously shown, these analyses suggest that since 2019 there has been a narrowing of the difference between 2016 Remain and Leave voters […]

How Strong are Brexit Identities Now?

15 December 2021 Comment The Brexit process

Following the EU referendum, the UK witnessed a rise of Brexit identities as people aligned themselves with opposing sides in the Brexit debate. Many of the country’s citizens now saw themselves as Remainers or Leavers. These Brexit identities were often felt more strongly than party identities. But what of these Brexit identities now? It has […]