The Brexit Impasse: Is the Party System Fracturing Once More?

4 April 2019

Today regular domestic politics will provide a small interruption to the increasingly frantic attempts being made both by the government and by parliament to seek a way out of the Brexit impasse. A parliamentary by-election is being held in Newport West, following the death of Paul Flynn, a widely-respected MP on the left of the […]

Could A Soft Brexit Provide A Soft Landing?

1 April 2019

Today, the House of Commons will be making a second attempt at identifying whether there is a proposal for Brexit that is capable of securing the backing of a majority of MPs. In an initial attempt last week, none of the eight options on which MPs were invited to vote secured an overall majority. However, […]

How Voters Have Viewed the Article 50 Process

26 March 2019

The UK was due to leave the EU on March 29, exactly two years after it gave notice to the EU that it wished to leave, and over two and a half years since voters voted by 52% to 48% to leave the EU. During that time, the UK government has been negotiating a treaty […]

Third Time Lucky – Perhaps?

18 March 2019

In a variation of the now regular ritual in MPs’ consideration of Brexit, this week we face the prospect that perhaps there will be another vote – but perhaps not. It seems the government has decided that there is little point in holding another vote on Mrs May’s deal this week unless it is clear […]

Are Voters Ready To Leave With No Deal?

11 March 2019

Another week, another (supposedly) round of votes in the Commons on Brexit. But with just three weeks to go until the UK’s scheduled day of departure, maybe not another week in which nothing changes. Perhaps by Friday the immediate future of Brexit at least will be a little clearer. The Prime Minister has promised MPs […]

Has Nothing Changed?

27 February 2019

In what is by now becoming a familiar ritual, today MPs will once again vote on various proposals for how Brexit should be handled, while the government endeavours to secure itself more time to negotiate an amended deal with the EU. However, the backdrop against which today’s voting will take place is different from that […]

Has There Been a Shift in Support for Brexit?

8 February 2019

Unsurprisingly, protagonists on all sides in the Brexit debate are keen to claim that their views reflect the will of a majority of voters. After all, the decision to leave the EU was made by the public in the first place, so being able to argue that what should happen now is backed by voters […]

Searching in Vain? The Hunt for a Brexit Compromise

21 January 2019

For all the apparent differences between them, both Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn have shared one objective in common as they have developed and advocated their respective positions on Brexit. Both have been pursuing a compromise. The Prime Minister has been explicit about this. Throughout the debate on the deal she negotiated with the EU, […]

Why is the Brexit Deal so unpopular?

11 January 2019

Ever since the EU withdrawal deal was published in November, Mrs May has been struggling to persuade MPs to back it. On Tuesday, we should learn whether she has eventually managed to win them over or not. Her attempts to do so have not been helped by the fact that voters have also proved to […]

Tory MPs Decide: But what do Tory voters think about Brexit?

12 December 2018

Theresa May might have been able to put off a vote on her Brexit deal in the House of Commons yesterday, but that decision has simply precipitated a confidence vote this evening in her leadership of her party.  The argument that attempting to change the Prime Minister would upset the Brexit timetable lost much of […]

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