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Could ‘Culture Wars’ Rekindle the Brexit Divide?

22 September 2022

It is often asserted that Brexit has fallen off voters’ agenda. Remain voters, it is said, have accommodated themselves to the fact that we have left the EU, while the issue has lost its importance for Leave voters. The validity of the first of those statements is doubtful – as our post-Brexit poll of polls […]


Why Has Brexit Become Less Popular?

7 September 2022

The latest poll by Redfield & Wilton Strategies for UK in a Changing Europe suggests that, among those expressing a preference, 54% would now vote to join the EU while only 46% would back staying out. That is quite a turnaround from the position just six months ago. Then, 55% were saying they would vote […]


The Importance of Non-Voters

1 July 2022

The latest in the series of Brexit tracker surveys undertaken by Redfield & Wilton for UK in a Changing Europe finds that in a referendum on whether the UK should re-join or stay out of the EU, 53% would now vote to re-join, while 47% would back staying out. This represents a turnaround from previous […]


The Electoral Legacy of Brexit: Evidence from the 2022 English Local Elections

19 May 2022

Brexit played a central role in the outcome of the 2019 general election. Those who had voted Leave in 2016 swung strongly towards the Conservatives. In winning an overall majority of 80, the party captured from Labour some Leave-inclined parliamentary constituencies that the Conservatives had not previously won since at least the 1930s. Unsurprisingly, Labour […]


What Does Great Britain Make of the Northern Ireland Protocol?

3 May 2022

Brexit is widely regarded as done and dusted – though the latest Redfield & Wilton/UK in a Changing Europe poll today suggests voters in Great Britain are still more or less evenly divided between those who would (49%) and those who would not (51%) reverse Brexit. However, one issue that is certainly still to be […]


The Northern Ireland Protocol and the 2022 Assembly elections with Prof Katy Hayward

28 April 2022

Sir John Curtice, Ian Montagu, and Alex Scholes are joined by Katy Hayward, Professor of Political Sociology at Queen’s University Belfast and Senior Fellow at the UK in a Changing Europe programme. They preview the upcoming elections to the Northern Ireland Assembly, discuss the nature of the Northern Ireland Protocol, and analyse the continuing influence […]


Party Choice and Changing Attitudes to Brexit

9 March 2022

Ever since the 2016 referendum, it has been commonplace for polls of vote intention to report separately the figures for those who voted Remain and those who backed Leave. And as we have previously shown, these analyses suggest that since 2019 there has been a narrowing of the difference between 2016 Remain and Leave voters […]


Why Have Some Voters Changed Their Minds About Brexit?

8 March 2022

One of the most noteworthy features of attitudes towards Brexit since the UK voted to Leave the European Union in June 2016 has been the relative stability of the balance of opinion. This has continued to be the case, even though the choice that would now face voters in any future ballot would be whether […]


Public Reactions to The First Year of Full Brexit

31 January 2022

Brexit has created a trio of notable anniversary dates – June 23rd when the referendum was held, the end of December, when (just over a year ago) the UK left the EU single market and customs union, and today, which is the second anniversary of the UK’s exit from the political institutions. So, it is […]


The British General Election of 2019 with Rob Ford and Paula Surridge

21 December 2021

As we enter the festive period and to mark two years since the 2019 UK general election, Sir John Curtice and Ian Montagu are joined by guests Rob Ford and Paula Surridge – two of the authors of the newly-published authoritative account of that ballot, ‘The British General Election of 2019’ – to discuss the […]


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