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The Electoral Legacy of Brexit: Evidence from the 2022 English Local Elections

19 May 2022

Brexit played a central role in the outcome of the 2019 general election. Those who had voted Leave in 2016 swung strongly towards the Conservatives. In winning an overall majority of 80, the party captured from Labour some Leave-inclined parliamentary constituencies that the Conservatives had not previously won since at least the 1930s. Unsurprisingly, Labour […]


What Does Great Britain Make of the Northern Ireland Protocol?

3 May 2022

Brexit is widely regarded as done and dusted – though the latest Redfield & Wilton/UK in a Changing Europe poll today suggests voters in Great Britain are still more or less evenly divided between those who would (49%) and those who would not (51%) reverse Brexit. However, one issue that is certainly still to be […]


The Northern Ireland Protocol and the 2022 Assembly elections with Prof Katy Hayward

28 April 2022

Sir John Curtice, Ian Montagu, and Alex Scholes are joined by Katy Hayward, Professor of Political Sociology at Queen’s University Belfast and Senior Fellow at the UK in a Changing Europe programme. They preview the upcoming elections to the Northern Ireland Assembly, discuss the nature of the Northern Ireland Protocol, and analyse the continuing influence […]


Party Choice and Changing Attitudes to Brexit

9 March 2022

Ever since the 2016 referendum, it has been commonplace for polls of vote intention to report separately the figures for those who voted Remain and those who backed Leave. And as we have previously shown, these analyses suggest that since 2019 there has been a narrowing of the difference between 2016 Remain and Leave voters […]


Why Have Some Voters Changed Their Minds About Brexit?

8 March 2022

One of the most noteworthy features of attitudes towards Brexit since the UK voted to Leave the European Union in June 2016 has been the relative stability of the balance of opinion. This has continued to be the case, even though the choice that would now face voters in any future ballot would be whether […]


Public Reactions to The First Year of Full Brexit

31 January 2022

Brexit has created a trio of notable anniversary dates – June 23rd when the referendum was held, the end of December, when (just over a year ago) the UK left the EU single market and customs union, and today, which is the second anniversary of the UK’s exit from the political institutions. So, it is […]


The British General Election of 2019 with Rob Ford and Paula Surridge

21 December 2021

As we enter the festive period and to mark two years since the 2019 UK general election, Sir John Curtice and Ian Montagu are joined by guests Rob Ford and Paula Surridge – two of the authors of the newly-published authoritative account of that ballot, ‘The British General Election of 2019’ – to discuss the […]


What Do Voters Make of the Brexit Deal Now?

16 December 2021

It is now nearly a year since the formal process for Britain’s withdrawal from the EU was concluded. At the end of last year, the UK left the single market and customs union, and since then it has been trading with the EU on the basis of the Trade and Co-operation Agreement that was unveiled […]


How Strong are Brexit Identities Now?

15 December 2021

Following the EU referendum, the UK witnessed a rise of Brexit identities as people aligned themselves with opposing sides in the Brexit debate. Many of the country’s citizens now saw themselves as Remainers or Leavers. These Brexit identities were often felt more strongly than party identities. But what of these Brexit identities now? It has […]


How Leavers and Remainers Diverged in the 2019 Election: Evidence from the Polls

13 December 2021

Following yesterday’s second anniversary of the 2019 general election, today sees the launch of another book on that contest. This is a volume on ‘Political Communication’ in the election. It uniquely brings together the perspectives and insights of academics, pollsters, journalists and campaigners on the interplay during the course of the campaign between party strategy, […]


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