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What Do Voters Make of the Customs Debate?

3 May 2018

It appears that the question of what customs arrangements the UK should have with the European Union after 2020 is becoming the first crunch issue in the negotiations about Britain’s future relationship with the EU. The Cabinet is reported to be having difficulty in reaching a decision on what arrangement the UK should seek, while […]


Have Attitudes Towards a Second Referendum Reached a ‘Turning Point’?

16 April 2018

There has recently been increased talk about the possibility of holding another referendum on Britain’s membership of the EU once the Brexit negotiations have come to some kind of conclusion. A few weeks ago, two former Prime Ministers, Tony Blair and Sir John Major, voiced their support for the idea. More recently, much of the speculation […]


Do Voters’ Perceptions of the Brexit Process Matter?

29 March 2018

As I first wrote in January – and have updated in a publication released today by the UK in a Changing Europe initiative – one of the striking features of the first year of the Brexit process so far as public opinion is concerned is that while the public have become rather more pessimistic about […]


Are Voters Changing Their Minds About Brexit?

31 January 2018

The Brexit negotiations are about to enter a critical phase. Between now and October the UK government and the EU have to agree an outline of what their relationship will be once the transition/implementation phase ends in December 2020. In the UK, that agreement will need to secure the approval of a House of Commons […]


Time For Some Rethinking in Scotland’s Brexit Debate?

9 January 2018

Brexit has added some new twists to the debate about Scotland’s constitutional status. The most obvious of these is that it led the Scottish Parliament in March 2017 to request the authority needed to hold another independence referendum, only for the First Minister to put the idea back on hold in June after losing 21 […]


Has Brexit Reshaped British Politics?

18 December 2017

Despite the apparent ambiguity in the stances on Brexit adopted by the Conservatives and Labour during the EU referendum, it appears that voters’ views about Brexit did influence how people voted in the 2017 election. This had implications for the values that were reflected in how people voted.


Live Together, Vote Together? Comparing Within Household Voting in the EU Referendum and in the 2015 General Election

8 December 2017

Voting patterns are usually analysed using survey data obtained by interviewing individual respondents. Relatively little attention has been paid to the role that within-household relationships have on how people vote. However, the Understanding Society survey undertaken by the Institute for Social and Economic Research at the University of Essex interviews all members of the households […]



Has There Been A Swing Against Brexit?

18 October 2017

Something of a flutter was created last week by the latest reading on attitudes towards Brexit from YouGov for The Times. Ever since the EU referendum last year, the company has regularly been asking its respondents, ‘In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union?’. In the […]


Has the Election Seen a Change in Attitudes towards Brexit?

7 July 2017

Far from securing the landslide that she felt would strengthen her hand in the Brexit negotiations, the general election saw Theresa May’s majority disappear entirely. This has inevitably led some to claim that the outcome represents a rejection of her vision of a ‘hard’ Brexit, and thus is indicative of a change of public mood. […]


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