Third Time Lucky – Perhaps?

18 March 2019

In a variation of the now regular ritual in MPs’ consideration of Brexit, this week we face the prospect that perhaps there will be another vote – but perhaps not. It seems the government has decided that there is little point in holding another vote on Mrs May’s deal this week unless it is clear […]

Are Voters Ready To Leave With No Deal?

11 March 2019

Another week, another (supposedly) round of votes in the Commons on Brexit. But with just three weeks to go until the UK’s scheduled day of departure, maybe not another week in which nothing changes. Perhaps by Friday the immediate future of Brexit at least will be a little clearer. The Prime Minister has promised MPs […]

Has Nothing Changed?

27 February 2019

In what is by now becoming a familiar ritual, today MPs will once again vote on various proposals for how Brexit should be handled, while the government endeavours to secure itself more time to negotiate an amended deal with the EU. However, the backdrop against which today’s voting will take place is different from that […]

Has There Been a Shift in Support for Brexit?

8 February 2019

Unsurprisingly, protagonists on all sides in the Brexit debate are keen to claim that their views reflect the will of a majority of voters. After all, the decision to leave the EU was made by the public in the first place, so being able to argue that what should happen now is backed by voters […]

Searching in Vain? The Hunt for a Brexit Compromise

21 January 2019

For all the apparent differences between them, both Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn have shared one objective in common as they have developed and advocated their respective positions on Brexit. Both have been pursuing a compromise. The Prime Minister has been explicit about this. Throughout the debate on the deal she negotiated with the EU, […]

Why is the Brexit Deal so unpopular?

11 January 2019

Ever since the EU withdrawal deal was published in November, Mrs May has been struggling to persuade MPs to back it. On Tuesday, we should learn whether she has eventually managed to win them over or not. Her attempts to do so have not been helped by the fact that voters have also proved to […]

Tory MPs Decide: But what do Tory voters think about Brexit?

12 December 2018

Theresa May might have been able to put off a vote on her Brexit deal in the House of Commons yesterday, but that decision has simply precipitated a confidence vote this evening in her leadership of her party.  The argument that attempting to change the Prime Minister would upset the Brexit timetable lost much of […]

MPs Decide? Four Key Messages From The Polls

10 December 2018

At the time of writing at least, the House of Commons is scheduled to vote on Mrs May’s Brexit deal on Tuesday evening. But is there any evidence that she has had any success in winning over the country? And what do voters want to happen if, as widely expected, the deal does go down […]

Gaining Popularity? Latest Polling on Mrs May’s Deal

3 December 2018

The last ten days have been marked by the publication of the political agreement on the future relationship between the UK and the EU, the acceptance of the whole Brexit deal at a special European Council on 25 November, and further attempts by the Prime Minister to persuade both MPs and the general public about the merits of the […]

Are Leave Voters Less Knowledgeable About The EU Than Remain Voters?

23 November 2018

In a forthcoming paper, my colleagues and I report the results of a study comparing levels of EU knowledge among Leave voters and Remain voters. We gave a 15-item EU knowledge quiz to nationally representative sample of the British population via an online survey. Our quiz comprised 9 ‘ideologically neutral’ items, as well as 6 […]

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