The What UK Thinks: EURef2 Poll of Polls is based on the average share of the vote for ‘Leave’ and ‘Remain’ in the six most recent polls of how people would vote if they were to be presented once again with the choice of either leaving the EU or remaining a member.
The bar chart to the right shows the average of the six most recent polls, the fieldwork for which was conducted between 5 September and 11 October 2019. It is based on one poll by Panelbase, one by BMG, one by Survation, one by Kantar, and one by Deltapoll. In addition a second poll by Panelbase and a second poll by Survation that shared exactly the same fieldwork dates are both included as half a poll each. The most recent addition is a poll by Panelbase conducted between 9 and 11 October 2019.
The line graph below shows how the Poll of Polls has changed since the beginning of 2018. The date at the bottom of the graph represents the date on which interviewing for the most recent poll in that set of six was concluded. Details of which companies’ polls are included in each estimate can be seen as you drag your cursor along the line graph.
Note the series includes both polls that were only conducted in Great Britain and those that were conducted across the United Kingdom as a whole. It also includes both those that asked people how they would vote in response to the question that appeared on the ballot paper in the June 2016 referendum and those that asked a slightly differently worded question.
For more information about the EURef2 Poll of Polls, see:
Introduction to the What UK Thinks: EURef2 Poll of Polls
For details of the all of the individual polls of voting intention in the referendum, see:
Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union? (Asked after the referendum)
If there was another referendum on Britain’s membership of the EU, how would you vote?
If there was a referendum on Britain’s membership of the EU, how would you vote? (Eurotrack)