How likely or unlikely is it that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade deal at the end of the transition period on 31st December?

Field work dates: 9 September 2020 - 20 November 2020
Data from: United Kingdom
Results from: 3 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely is it that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade deal at the end of the transition period on 31st December?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
20 November 2020
Poll by Opinium
6 November 2020
Poll by Opinium
11 September 2020
Poll by Opinium
Very likely14%17%19%
Quite likely31%33%33%
Neither likely nor unlikely21%17%20%
Quite unlikely15%13%12%
Very unlikely3%4%4%
Don’t know / not sure15%17%14%

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Poll details

Full question wording

How likely or unlikely do you think it is that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade deal at the end of the transition period on 31st December?

See About these data for possible variations