What do you think is the most likely outcome of the EU referendum?

Field work dates: 18 May 2016 - 19 May 2016
Data from: Great Britain
Results from: 1 poll

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Results for: What do you think is the most likely outcome of the EU referendum?
Fieldwork end date
Pollster
19 May 2016
Poll by Populus
Clear Remain victory - vote share greater than 60%10%
Remain victory - vote share between 55-60%19%
Narrow Remain victory - vote share below 55%34%
Narrow Leave victory - vote share below 55%12%
Leave victory - vote share between 55-60%5%
Clear Leave victory - vote share greater than 60%4%
Don't know16%

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    Full question wording

    Still thinking ahead to June's referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union, regardless of which outcome you would prefer, which of the following do you think is the most likely outcome?

    See About these data for possible variations